activity
20162026
most citedUnderspecification Presents Challenges for Credibility in Modern Machine Learning

430 citations · 768 across the 15 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

15 papers

cs.CV2026

VL-DPO: Vision-Language-Guided Finetuning for Preference-Aligned Autonomous Driving

Zhefan Xu, Ghassen Jerfel, Marina Haliem +3

The rapid growth of autonomous driving datasets has enabled the scaling of powerful motion forecasting models. While large-scale pretraining provides strong performance, the standa…

cs.LG2025

Scaling Laws of Motion Forecasting and Planning -- Technical Report

Mustafa Baniodeh, Kratarth Goel, Scott Ettinger +14

We study the empirical scaling laws of a family of encoder-decoder autoregressive transformer models on the task of joint motion forecasting and planning in the autonomous driving…

stat.ML2022★ 15 cited

Benchmarking Bayesian Deep Learning on Diabetic Retinopathy Detection Tasks

Neil Band, Tim G. J. Rudner, Qixuan Feng +6

Bayesian deep learning seeks to equip deep neural networks with the ability to precisely quantify their predictive uncertainty, and has promised to make deep learning more reliable…

cs.LG2022★ 36 cited

A Simple Approach to Improve Single-Model Deep Uncertainty via Distance-Awareness

Jeremiah Zhe Liu, Shreyas Padhy, Jie Ren +7

Accurate uncertainty quantification is a major challenge in deep learning, as neural networks can make overconfident errors and assign high confidence predictions to out-of-distrib…

cs.LG2021★ 1 cited

Sparse MoEs meet Efficient Ensembles

James Urquhart Allingham, Florian Wenzel, Zelda E Mariet +10

Machine learning models based on the aggregated outputs of submodels, either at the activation or prediction levels, often exhibit strong performance compared to individual models.…

stat.ML2021★ 6 cited

Variational Refinement for Importance Sampling Using the Forward Kullback-Leibler Divergence

Ghassen Jerfel, Serena Wang, Clara Fannjiang +3

Variational Inference (VI) is a popular alternative to asymptotically exact sampling in Bayesian inference. Its main workhorse is optimization over a reverse Kullback-Leibler diver…

cs.LG2021★ 5 cited

Uncertainty Baselines: Benchmarks for Uncertainty & Robustness in Deep Learning

Zachary Nado, Neil Band, Mark Collier +23

High-quality estimates of uncertainty and robustness are crucial for numerous real-world applications, especially for deep learning which underlies many deployed ML systems. The ab…

cs.LG2020★ 430 cited

Underspecification Presents Challenges for Credibility in Modern Machine Learning

Alexander D'Amour, Katherine Heller, Dan Moldovan +37

ML models often exhibit unexpectedly poor behavior when they are deployed in real-world domains. We identify underspecification as a key reason for these failures. An ML pipeline i…

cs.LG2020★ 9 cited

Combining Ensembles and Data Augmentation can Harm your Calibration

Yeming Wen, Ghassen Jerfel, Rafael Muller +4

Ensemble methods which average over multiple neural network predictions are a simple approach to improve a model's calibration and robustness. Similarly, data augmentation techniqu…

cs.LG2020★ 33 cited

Efficient and Scalable Bayesian Neural Nets with Rank-1 Factors

Michael W. Dusenberry, Ghassen Jerfel, Yeming Wen +5

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) demonstrate promising success in improving the robustness and uncertainty quantification of modern deep learning. However, they generally struggle w…

cs.LG2019★ 57 cited

Analyzing the Role of Model Uncertainty for Electronic Health Records

Michael W. Dusenberry, Dustin Tran, Edward Choi +5

In medicine, both ethical and monetary costs of incorrect predictions can be significant, and the complexity of the problems often necessitates increasingly complex models. Recent…

cs.LG2019★ 13 cited

AdaNet: A Scalable and Flexible Framework for Automatically Learning Ensembles

Charles Weill, Javier Gonzalvo, Vitaly Kuznetsov +9

AdaNet is a lightweight TensorFlow-based (Abadi et al., 2015) framework for automatically learning high-quality ensembles with minimal expert intervention. Our framework is inspire…

cs.LG2019★ 149 cited

Measuring Calibration in Deep Learning

Jeremy Nixon, Mike Dusenberry, Ghassen Jerfel +4

Overconfidence and underconfidence in machine learning classifiers is measured by calibration: the degree to which the probabilities predicted for each class match the accuracy of…

cs.LG2018★ 12 cited

Reconciling meta-learning and continual learning with online mixtures of tasks

Ghassen Jerfel, Erin Grant, Thomas L. Griffiths +1

Learning-to-learn or meta-learning leverages data-driven inductive bias to increase the efficiency of learning on a novel task. This approach encounters difficulty when transfer is…

cs.LG2016★ 2 cited

Dynamic Collaborative Filtering with Compound Poisson Factorization

Ghassen Jerfel, Mehmet E. Basbug, Barbara E. Engelhardt

Model-based collaborative filtering analyzes user-item interactions to infer latent factors that represent user preferences and item characteristics in order to predict future inte…