bayesian prediction 2asymptotic convergence 1conditional likelihood 1de finetti theorem 1exchangeability 1generalized method of moments 1i-projection 1kl projection 1moment constraints 1moment restrictions 1sanov theorem 1
From the 2 of 14 linked papers with an AI index.
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stat.ML2026
Bayes with No Shame: Admissibility Geometries of Predictive Inference
Nicholas G. Polson, Daniel Zantedeschi
Modern predictive systems combine predictors, sequential monitors, prediction sets, and online strategies, each with a different certificate of optimality. We study four criterion-…
stat.ML2026
Prediction-Powered Inference with Inverse Probability Weighting
Jyotishka Datta, Nicholas G. Polson
Prediction-powered inference (PPI) is a recent framework for valid statistical inference with partially labeled data, combining model-based predictions on a large unlabeled set wit…