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bayesian prediction 2asymptotic convergence 1conditional likelihood 1de finetti theorem 1exchangeability 1generalized method of moments 1i-projection 1kl projection 1moment constraints 1moment restrictions 1sanov theorem 1

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20242026
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stat.AP2026

Chess Signatures of Play

Christian Turk, Nicholas Polson

A game of chess is a stream: a time-ordered sequence of moves, each carrying an engine evaluation, a measure of accuracy, a measure of position complexity, and a clock reading. We…