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20162026
most citedForecasting the Arrival Time of Coronal Mass Ejections: Analysis of the CCMC CME Scoreboard

169 citations · 1.2k across the 34 of their papers we have counts for

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Showing 2020Show all

7 papers · 1 filter

astro-ph.SR2020★ 32 cited

Analysis of coronal mass ejection flux rope signatures using 3DCORE and approximate Bayesian Computation

Andreas J. Weiss, Christian Möstl, Tanja Amerstorfer +5

We present a major update to the 3D coronal rope ejection (3DCORE) technique for modeling coronal mass ejection flux ropes in conjunction with an Approximate Bayesian Computation (…

physics.space-ph2020★ 37 cited

Evaluation of CME Arrival Prediction Using Ensemble Modeling Based on Heliospheric Imaging Observations

Tanja Amerstorfer, Jürgen Hinterreiter, Martin A. Reiss +8

In this study, we evaluate a coronal mass ejection (CME) arrival prediction tool that utilizes the wide-angle observations made by STEREO's heliospheric imagers (HI). The unsurpass…

astro-ph.SR2020★ 62 cited

Prediction of the in situ coronal mass ejection rate for solar cycle 25: Implications for Parker Solar Probe in situ observations

Christian Möstl, Andreas J. Weiss, Rachel L. Bailey +7

The Parker Solar Probe (PSP) and Solar Orbiter missions are designed to make groundbreaking observations of the Sun and interplanetary space within this decade. We show that a part…

astro-ph.SR2020★ 22 cited

Evolution of coronal mass ejections and the corresponding Forbush decreases: modelling vs multi-spacecraft observations

Mateja Dumbović, Bojan Vršnak, Jingnan Guo +9

One of the very common in situ signatures of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), as well as other interplanetary transients, are Forbush decreases (FDs), i.e. short-term…

physics.space-ph2020★ 28 cited

Using gradient boosting regression to improve ambient solar wind model predictions

R. L. Bailey, M. A. Reiss, C. N. Arge +7

Studying the ambient solar wind, a continuous pressure-driven plasma flow emanating from our Sun, is an important component of space weather research. The ambient solar wind flows…

astro-ph.SR2020★ 19 cited

Prediction of Dst during solar minimum using in situ measurements at L5

R. L. Bailey, C. Möstl, M. A. Reiss +6

Geomagnetic storms resulting from high-speed streams can have significant negative impacts on modern infrastructure due to complex interactions between the solar wind and geomagnet…

physics.space-ph2020★ 33 cited

Forecasting the Ambient Solar Wind with Numerical Models. II. An Adaptive Prediction System for Specifying Solar Wind Speed Near the Sun

Martin A. Reiss, Peter J. MacNeice, Karin Muglach +8

The ambient solar wind flows and fields influence the complex propagation dynamics of coronal mass ejections in the interplanetary medium and play an essential role in shaping Eart…