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Paulo C. Marques F.

Insper Institute of Education and Research

11 papers hereh-index 462 citations15 works total

Matching runs newest-first, so older work may not be attached to this profile yet.

author position
  • sole author4
  • first author5
  • middle author1
  • last author1

Across the 11 of 11 papers where every author was matched, so the position is known.

fields
  • stat.ML4
  • math.ST3
  • stat.ME3
  • cond-mat1
affiliations
  • Insper Institute of Education and Research
Homepage

identity via Semantic Scholar / OpenAlex

activity
19942026
most citedConfidence intervals for the random forest generalization error

15 citations · 24 across the 11 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators
Showing stat.MLShow all

4 papers · 1 filter

stat.ML2026

Skew-adaptive conformal prediction

Paulo C. Marques F., Helton Graziadei

We develop a skew-adaptive extension of split conformal prediction for regression. The method starts from an asymmetric interval family centered at a point prediction and uses the…

stat.ML2025

Stacked conformal prediction

Paulo C. Marques F

We consider a method for conformalizing a stacked ensemble of predictive models, showing that the potentially simple form of the meta-learner at the top of the stack enables a proc…

stat.ML2024

Projected random forests and conformal prediction of circular data

Paulo C. Marques F., Rinaldo Artes, Helton Graziadei

We apply conformal prediction techniques to regression problems with circular responses, producing prediction sets with adaptive arc length and finite-sample coverage guarantees fo…

stat.ML2021★ 15 cited

Confidence intervals for the random forest generalization error

Paulo C. Marques F

We show that the byproducts of the standard training process of a random forest yield not only the well known and almost computationally free out-of-bag point estimate of the model…

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