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math.ST2023★ 5 cited
Universal distribution of the empirical coverage in split conformal prediction
Paulo C. Marques F
When split conformal prediction operates in batch mode with exchangeable data, we determine the exact distribution of the empirical coverage of prediction sets produced for a finit…
math.ST2013
On the computation of the marginal likelihood
Paulo C. Marques F
We describe briefly in this note a procedure for consistently estimating the marginal likelihood of a statistical model through a sample from the posterior distribution of the mode…
math.ST2012
Bayesian Analysis of Simple Random Densities
Paulo C. Marques F., Carlos A. de B. Pereira
A tractable nonparametric prior over densities is introduced which is closed under sampling and exhibits proper posterior asymptotics.