most citedSelf Organizing Supply Chains for Micro-Prediction: Present and Future uses of the ROAR Protocol

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q-bio.PE2020

Addressing the Herd Immunity Paradox Using Symmetry, Convexity Adjustments and Bond Prices

Peter Cotton

In constant parameter compartmental models an early onset of herd immunity is at odds with estimates of R values from early stage growth. This paper utilizes a result from the theo…

q-bio.PE2020

Repeat Contacts and the Spread of Disease: An Agent Model with Compartmental Solution

Peter Cotton

Using a probability of novel encounter derived from a physical model, we augment the SIR compartmental model for disease spread. Scenarios with the same initial trajectories and id…