1 citations · 1 across the 3 of their papers we have counts for
3 papers
q-bio.PE2020
Addressing the Herd Immunity Paradox Using Symmetry, Convexity Adjustments and Bond Prices
Peter Cotton
In constant parameter compartmental models an early onset of herd immunity is at odds with estimates of R values from early stage growth. This paper utilizes a result from the theo…
q-bio.PE2020
Repeat Contacts and the Spread of Disease: An Agent Model with Compartmental Solution
Peter Cotton
Using a probability of novel encounter derived from a physical model, we augment the SIR compartmental model for disease spread. Scenarios with the same initial trajectories and id…
stat.AP2019★ 1 cited
Self Organizing Supply Chains for Micro-Prediction: Present and Future uses of the ROAR Protocol
Peter Cotton
A multi-agent system is trialed as a means of crowd-sourcing inexpensive but high quality streams of predictions. Each agent is a microservice embodying statistical models and endo…