activity
20122026
most citedThe 2004 Venezuelan Presidential Recall Referendum: Discrepancies Between Two Exit Polls and Official Results

7 citations · 14 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

10 papers

stat.ME2026

Mean-Tilted Intervals: Regression and Dynamic Models

Antonio De Leon, Raquel Prado, Bruno Sansó

Mean-tilted intervals (MTIs) provide a fixed-content family of interval targets indexed by retained-mean balance. This paper develops generalized-Bayes computation for using those…

stat.ME2026

Bayesian Quantile Deep Echo State Networks for Nonlinear Time Series

Antonio De Leon, Raquel Prado, Bruno Sansó

Conditional quantiles are central to asymmetric decision losses, tail-risk assessment, and interval forecasts, but Bayesian quantile regression for nonlinear time series can be dif…

stat.ME2026

Mean-Tilted Intervals: Short Tolerance Intervals

Antonio De Leon, Raquel Prado, Bruno Sansó

Intervals with the same probability content can have different endpoint placements and widths. This matters for tolerance inference, where a reported interval must also satisfy a r…

stat.AP2026

Bayesian Quantile-Based Correction and Synthesis of Hydrologic Products

Antonio De Leon, Raquel Prado, Bruno Sansó

River-flow forecasting requires predictive distributions that remain informative in both routine and extreme conditions. We develop a Bayesian quantile-based correction-and-synthes…

stat.ME2026

exdqlm: An R Package for Estimation and Analysis of Flexible Dynamic Quantile Linear Models

Antonio De Leon, Raquel Barata, Raquel Prado +1

We present the R package exdqlm for Bayesian quantile regression, with primary emphasis on dynamic state-space quantile models for time series. The package is built around extended…

stat.ME2023

Bayesian Nonparametric Multivariate Mixture of Autoregressive Processes: With Application to Brain Signals

Guillermo Granados-Garcia, Raquel Prado, Hernando Ombao

One of the goals of neuroscience is to study interactions between different brain regions during rest and while performing specific cognitive tasks. The Multivariate Bayesian Autor…