activity
20122026
most citedThe 2004 Venezuelan Presidential Recall Referendum: Discrepancies Between Two Exit Polls and Official Results

7 citations · 14 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

10 papers

stat.ME2026

Mean-Tilted Intervals: Regression and Dynamic Models

Antonio De Leon, Raquel Prado, Bruno Sansó

Mean-tilted intervals (MTIs) provide a fixed-content family of interval targets indexed by retained-mean balance. This paper develops generalized-Bayes computation for using those…

stat.ME2026

Bayesian Quantile Deep Echo State Networks for Nonlinear Time Series

Antonio De Leon, Raquel Prado, Bruno Sansó

Conditional quantiles are central to asymmetric decision losses, tail-risk assessment, and interval forecasts, but Bayesian quantile regression for nonlinear time series can be dif…

stat.ME2026

Mean-Tilted Intervals: Short Tolerance Intervals

Antonio De Leon, Raquel Prado, Bruno Sansó

Intervals with the same probability content can have different endpoint placements and widths. This matters for tolerance inference, where a reported interval must also satisfy a r…

stat.AP2026

Bayesian Quantile-Based Correction and Synthesis of Hydrologic Products

Antonio De Leon, Raquel Prado, Bruno Sansó

River-flow forecasting requires predictive distributions that remain informative in both routine and extreme conditions. We develop a Bayesian quantile-based correction-and-synthes…

stat.ME2026

exdqlm: An R Package for Estimation and Analysis of Flexible Dynamic Quantile Linear Models

Antonio De Leon, Raquel Barata, Raquel Prado +1

We present the R package exdqlm for Bayesian quantile regression, with primary emphasis on dynamic state-space quantile models for time series. The package is built around extended…

stat.ME2023

Bayesian Nonparametric Multivariate Mixture of Autoregressive Processes: With Application to Brain Signals

Guillermo Granados-Garcia, Raquel Prado, Hernando Ombao

One of the goals of neuroscience is to study interactions between different brain regions during rest and while performing specific cognitive tasks. The Multivariate Bayesian Autor…

stat.ME2022★ 3 cited

Bayesian tensor regression using the Tucker decomposition for sparse spatial modeling

Daniel Spencer, Rajarshi Guhaniyogi, Russell Shinohara +1

Modeling with multidimensional arrays, or tensors, often presents a problem due to high dimensionality. In addition, these structures typically exhibit inherent sparsity, requiring…

stat.ME2019

Efficient Bayesian PARCOR Approaches for Dynamic Modeling of Multivariate Time Series

Wenjie Zhao, Raquel Prado

A Bayesian lattice filtering and smoothing approach is proposed for fast and accurate modeling and inference in multivariate non-stationary time series. This approach offers comput…

stat.AP2019★ 4 cited

Bayesian Mixed Effect Sparse Tensor Response Regression Model with Joint Estimation of Activation and Connectivity

Daniel Spencer, Rajarshi Guhaniyogi, Raquel Prado

Brain activation and connectivity analyses in task-based functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) experiments with multiple subjects are currently at the forefront of data-driv…

stat.ME2012★ 7 cited

The 2004 Venezuelan Presidential Recall Referendum: Discrepancies Between Two Exit Polls and Official Results

Raquel Prado, Bruno Sansó

We present a simulation-based study in which the results of two major exit polls conducted during the recall referendum that took place in Venezuela on August 15, 2004, are compare…