3 citations · 5 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for
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stat.AP2020
Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format
Johannes Bracher, Evan L. Ray, Tilmann Gneiting +1
For practical reasons, many forecasts of case, hospitalization and death counts in the context of the current COVID-19 pandemic are issued in the form of central predictive interva…
stat.ME2020
A marginal moment matching approach for fitting endemic-epidemic models to underreported disease surveillance counts
Johannes Bracher, Leonhard Held
Count data are often subject to underreporting, especially in infectious disease surveillance. We propose an approximate maximum likelihood method to fit count time series models f…