33 citations · 92 across the 10 of their papers we have counts for
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physics.ao-ph2021★ 6 cited
Data-driven transition path analysis yields a statistical understanding of sudden stratospheric warming events in an idealized model
Justin Finkel, Robert J. Webber, Edwin P. Gerber +2
Atmospheric regime transitions are highly impactful as drivers of extreme weather events, but pose two formidable modeling challenges: predicting the next event (weather forecastin…
physics.ao-ph2021★ 33 cited
Learning forecasts of rare stratospheric transitions from short simulations
Justin Finkel, Robert J. Webber, Dorian S. Abbot +2
Rare events arising in nonlinear atmospheric dynamics remain hard to predict and attribute. We address the problem of forecasting rare events in a prototypical example, Sudden Stra…