The Galam Model of Minority Opinion Spreading and the Marriage Gap

Abstract

In 2002, Serge Galam designed a model of a minority opinion spreading. The effect is expected to lead a conservative minority to prevail if the issue is discussed long enough. Here we analyze the marriage gap, i.e. the difference in voting for Bush and Kerry in 2004 between married and unmarried people. It seems possible to interpret this marriage gap in terms of the Galam model.

6 pages

References in corpus (4)

• Minority Opinion Spreading in Random Geometry
• Modeling Rumors: The No Plane Pentagon French Hoax Case
• Neighborhood models of minority opinion spreading
• Percolation and Galam Theory of Minority Opinion Spreading

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• Statistical Physics Of Opinion Formation: is it a SPOOF?
• Public debates driven by incomplete scientific data: the cases of evolution theory, global warming and H1N1 pandemic influenza
• The drastic outcomes from voting alliances in three-party bottom-up democratic voting (1990 $\to$ 2013)
• Sociophysics and the Forming of Public Opinion: Threshold versus Non Threshold Dynamics
• Collective beliefs and individual stubbornness in the dynamics of public debates