Drift Field Net: Learning Ocean Lagrangian advection fields from in-situ and satellite observations

Abstract

The North Pacific Subtropical Gyre (NPSG) is a major accumulation zone for floating plastic debris, resulting from basin-scale convergent ocean circulation. Effective cleanup strategies in this region rely on accurate forecasts of Lagrangian particle drift. Here, we introduce Drift Field Net (DFN), a deep neural network that predicts ocean surface flow fields from operational satellite observations. DFN is trained using a novel two-stage strategy that combines pretraining on simulated data with Lagrangian fine-tuning based on an advection-consistent loss function. This physics-informed optimization directly improves the accuracy of particle trajectory predictions. We evaluate DFN against an operational physics-based forecasting system and demonstrate the potential of deep learning for ocean surface flow prediction. On in situ drifter trajectories, DFN reduces the mean positioning error by 20 km after a 7-day forecast compared with the operational model. Furthermore, Lagrangian fine-tuning with the proposed advection loss further reduces the positioning error by 10 km, highlighting the benefits of incorporating Lagrangian constraints into the training process.

Submitted to Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems