Information-Theoretic Causal Modelling of Semiconductor Process Dynamics

Abstract

With the progress of the semiconductor industry toward increasingly complex compute devices and tighter process tolerances, advanced process control has become crucial. This work explores a novel framework to infer the underlying dynamics of semiconductor processes, directly from raw equipment log-file time-series data. By modelling the tool dynamics as a stochastic dynamical system comprising (a) a deterministic component and (b) a stochastic component, we estimate entropy transfer rates between variables through the Liang-Kleeman and Pires formalism. Preliminary results indicated that 7.5% of the inferred dependencies were known, 36.0% were plausible, 17.5% represented previously uncharacterised relationships, and 39.0% were inconsistent with established process knowledge. These findings demonstrate the framework's capability to uncover novel causal insights, while motivating further improvements to reduce inconsistent findings.

To be presented at the 2026 IEEE 33rd International Conference on Electronics, Circuits and Systems (ICECS), and published by IEEE in the conference proceedings