artificial intelligence

Partner Capability Estimation for Task-Agnostic Adaptation in Ad-Hoc Teamwork

arXiv:2607.27177

summary

The paper proposes a Bayesian method (CE-CM) for estimating hidden partner capabilities in multi‑task ad‑hoc teamwork, allowing agents to plan with decentralized execution and adapt online, with an extension (CE-CM-Div) that handles diverse human behaviours.

Abstract

Effective collaboration with novel and diverse partners is a crucial skill for autonomous agents. Most current ad-hoc teamwork (AHT) approaches assume that agents will collaborate on a single, fixed task and that the partner's capabilities, their ability to successfully execute the desired action, are already known. In reality, a partner's true capabilities are often hidden, and human collaborators may act sub-optimally on tasks with multiple valid strategies. To address these limitations, we extend ad-hoc teamwork into a multi-task setting by re-framing it as a problem of joint planning with decentralised execution under hidden partner capabilities. We introduce CE-CM (Capability Estimation via Contextual Models), an approximate Bayesian method that infers task-invariant capability vectors. By using simulation-based sampling, the agent estimates capabilities and induces a contextual Multi-agent Markov Decision Processes for planning. This approach requires no population pre-training and refines its beliefs online from just a few tasks. To account for human unpredictability, we propose CE-CM-Div, an extension that evaluates capability hypotheses against diverse planner rollouts rather than a single optimal trajectory. Simulated experiments demonstrate that CE-CM rapidly recovers hidden capabilities, reduces infeasible action assignments, and adapts to changes over time. Furthermore, in an offline human study of 225 trajectories from 15 participants, CE-CM-Div substantially improved capability estimates over the baseline CE-CM method. Our results suggest capability-based modelling is a promising interpretable, task-agnostic representation in the studied settings, demonstrating that accounting for behavioural diversity is essential for robust human-AI teaming.

44 pages, 18 figures, submitted

Topics & keywords

#ad-hoc teamwork#capability estimation#multi-task planning#human‑AI collaboration#bayesian inferenceCE-CMcontextual modelsdecentralized executionmulti-agent MDPsimulation-based samplingbehavioral diversity