The Pantheon+ Analysis: Dependence of Cosmological Constraints on Photometric-Zeropoint Uncertainties of Supernova Surveys
arXiv:2110.03486
Abstract
Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) measurements of the Hubble constant, H, the cosmological mass density, , and the dark energy equation-of-state parameter, , rely on numerous SNe surveys using distinct photometric systems across three decades of observation. Here, we determine the sensitivities of the upcoming SH0ES+Pantheon+ constraints on H, , and to unknown systematics in the relative photometric zeropoint calibration between the 17 surveys that comprise the Pantheon+ supernovae data set. Varying the zeropoints of these surveys simultaneously with the cosmological parameters, we determine that the SH0ES+Pantheon+ measurement of H is robust against inter-survey photometric miscalibration, but that the measurements of and are not. Specifically, we find that miscalibrated inter-survey systematics could represent a source of uncertainty in the measured value of H that is no larger than km s Mpc. This modest increase in H uncertainty could not account for the km s Mpc "Hubble Tension" between the SH0ES measurement of H and the Planck CDM-based inference of H. However, we find that the SH0ES+Pantheon+ best-fit values of and respectively slip, to first order, by and per mmag of inter-survey calibration uncertainty, underscoring the vital role that cross-calibration plays in accurately measuring these parameters. Because the Pantheon+ compendium contains many surveys that share low- Hubble Flow and Cepheid-paired SNe, the SH0ES+Pantheon+ joint constraint of H is robust against inter-survey photometric calibration errors, and such errors do not represent an impediment to jointly using SH0ES+Pantheon+ to measure H to 1% accuracy.
Submitted to ApJ. Comments welcome