Analytic Calculation of Covariance between Cosmological Parameters from Correlated Data Sets, with an Application to SPTpol

Abstract

Consistency checks of cosmological data sets are an important tool because they may suggest systematic errors or the type of modifications to $\Lambda$CDM necessary to resolve current tensions. In this work, we derive an analytic method for calculating the level of correlations between model parameters from two correlated cosmological data sets, which complements more computationally expensive simulations. This method is an extension of the Fisher analysis that assumes a Gaussian likelihood and a known data covariance matrix. We apply this method to the SPTpol temperature and polarization CMB spectra (TE and EE). We find weak correlations between $\Lambda$CDM parameters with a 9$\%$ correlation between the TE-only and EE-only constraints on $H_0$ and a 25$\%$ and 32$\%$ correlation for log($A_s$) and $n_s$ respectively. Despite the negative correlations between the TE and EE power spectra, the correlations in the parameters are positive. The TE-EE parameter differences are consistent with zero, with a PTE of 0.53, in contrast to the PTE of 0.017 reported by SPTpol for the consistency of the TE and EE power spectra with $\Lambda$CDM. Using simulations we find that the results of these two tests are independent and that this difference can arise simply from statistical fluctuations. Ignoring correlations in the TT-TE and TE-EE comparisons biases the ${\chi }^2$ low, artificially making parameters look more consistent. Therefore, we conclude that these correlations need to be accounted for when performing internal consistency checks of the TT vs TE vs EE power spectra for future CMB analyses.

arXiv comment13 pages, 6 figures, Published by ApJ

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