paper

Free energy surface reconstruction from umbrella samples using Gaussian process regression

arXiv:1312.4419 · doi:10.1021/ct500438v

Abstract

We demonstrate how the Gaussian process regression approach can be used to efficiently reconstruct free energy surfaces from umbrella sampling simulations. By making a prior assumption of smoothness and taking account of the sampling noise in a consistent fashion, we achieve a significant improvement in accuracy over the state of the art in two or more dimensions or, equivalently, a significant cost reduction to obtain the free energy surface within a prescribed tolerance in both regimes of spatially sparse data and short sampling trajectories. Stemming from its Bayesian interpretation the method provides meaningful error bars without significant additional computation. A software implementation is made available on www.libatoms.org.

34 pages, 10 figures. Combines previous version part I (arxiv 1312.4419) and part II (arxiv 1312.4420)

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