paper

Regression modeling method of space weather prediction

arXiv:0906.3271 · doi:10.1007/s10509-009-0060-4

Abstract

A regression modeling method of space weather prediction is proposed. It allows forecasting Dst index up to 6 hours ahead with about 90% correlation. It can also be used for constructing phenomenological models of interaction between the solar wind and the magnetosphere. With its help two new geoeffective parameters were found: latitudinal and longitudinal flow angles of the solar wind. It was shown that Dst index remembers its previous values for 2000 hours.

13 pages, 19 figures, 2 tables

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