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Instituto de Investigación Tecnológica

Spain

1 paper here166 citations across 1
fields
  • q-bio.PE1
ROR 04fc53857OpenAlex

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most citedPredictability: Can the turning point and end of an expanding epidemic be precisely forecast?

166 citations

researchers with a paper here
  • J. Cuesta1 · h 40
  • M. Castro1 · h 5
  • Saúl Ares1 · h 19
  • S. Manrubia1 · h 39
collaborating institutions
  • Centro Nacional de BiotecnologíaES1 paper
  • Instituto de Biocomputación y Física de Sistemas Complejos1 paper
  • Universidad Carlos III de MadridES1 paper
  • Universidad de ZaragozaES1 paper
  • Universidad Pontificia ComillasES1 paper

1 paper

q-bio.PE2020★ 166 cited

Predictability: Can the turning point and end of an expanding epidemic be precisely forecast?

Mario Castro, Saúl Ares, José A. Cuesta +1

No, they can't. Epidemic spread is characterized by exponentially growing dynamics, which are intrinsically unpredictable. The time at which the growth in the number of infected in…

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