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19932023
most citedGibrat's law for cities: uniformly most powerful unbiased test of the Pareto against the lognormal

184 citations

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7 papers · 1 filter

physics.data-an2011★ 68 cited

Robust Statistical Tests of Dragon-Kings beyond Power Law Distributions

V. F. Pisarenko, D. Sornette

We ask the question whether it is possible to diagnose the existence of "Dragon-Kings" (DK), namely anomalous observations compared to a power law background distribution of event…

physics.data-an2010★ 3 cited

On the Correct Use of Statistical Tests: Reply to "Lies, damned lies and statistics (in Geology)"

D. Sornette, V. Pisarenko

In a Forum published in EOS Transactions AGU (2009) entitled "Lies, damned lies and statistics (in Geology)", Vermeesch (2009) claims that "statistical significant is not the same…

physics.data-an2009★ 184 cited

Gibrat's law for cities: uniformly most powerful unbiased test of the Pareto against the lognormal

Y. Malevergne, V. Pisarenko, D. Sornette

We address the general problem of testing a power law distribution versus a log-normal distribution in statistical data. This general problem is illustrated on the distribution of…

physics.data-an2007★ 13 cited

Properties of a simple bilinear stochastic model: estimation and predictability

D. Sornette, V. F. Pisarenko

We analyze the properties of arguably the simplest bilinear stochastic multiplicative process, proposed as a model of financial returns and of other complex systems combining both…

physics.data-an2005★ 120 cited

Algorithm for Model Validation: Theory and Applications

D. Sornette, A. B. Davis, K. Ide +3

Validation is often defined as the process of determining the degree to which a model is an accurate representation of the real world from the perspective of its intended uses. Val…

physics.data-an2003★ 67 cited

On Statistical Methods of Parameter Estimation for Deterministically Chaotic Time-Series

V. F. Pisarenko, D. Sornette

We discuss the possibility of applying some standard statistical methods (the least square method, the maximum likelihood method, the method of statistical moments for estimation o…

physics.data-an2003★ 23 cited

Multiscale Trend Analysis

I. Zaliapin, A. Gabrielov, V. Keilis-Borok

This paper introduces a multiscale analysis based on optimal piecewise linear approximations of time series. An optimality criterion is formulated and on its base a computationally…