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20142026
most citedAnalytical computation of the epidemic threshold on temporal networks

182 citations

Showing physics.soc-phShow all

15 papers · 1 filter

physics.soc-ph2025★ 1 cited

One pathogen does not an epidemic make: A review of interacting contagions, diseases, beliefs, and stories

Laurent Hébert-Dufresne, Yong-Yeol Ahn, Antoine Allard +15

From pathogens and computer viruses to genes and memes, contagion models have found widespread utility across the natural and social sciences. Despite their success and breadth of…

physics.soc-ph2023★ 20 cited

Estimates of the reproduction ratio from epidemic surveillance may be biased in spatially structured populations

Piero Birello, Michele Re Fiorentin, Boxuan Wang +2

Accurate estimates of the reproduction ratio are crucial to project infectious disease epidemic evolution and guide public health response. Here, we prove that estimates of the rep…

physics.soc-ph2021

The effect of delayed awareness and fatigue on the efficacy of self-isolation in epidemic control

Giulia de Meijere, Vittoria Colizza, Eugenio Valdano +1

The isolation of infectious individuals is a key measure of public health for the control of communicable diseases. However, involving a strong perturbation of daily life, it often…

physics.soc-ph2020★ 57 cited

Impact of urban structure on infectious disease spreading

Javier Aguilar, Aleix Bassolas, Gourab Ghoshal +8

The ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has been holding the world hostage for more than a year now. Mobility is key to viral spreading and its restriction is the main non-pharmaceutical i…

physics.soc-ph2020★ 42 cited

Active and inactive quarantine in epidemic spreading on adaptive activity-driven networks

Marco Mancastroppa, Raffaella Burioni, Vittoria Colizza +1

We consider an epidemic process on adaptive activity-driven temporal networks, with adaptive behaviour modelled as a change in activity and attractiveness due to infection. By usin…

physics.soc-ph2018★ 67 cited

Randomized reference models for temporal networks

Laetitia Gauvin, Mathieu Génois, Márton Karsai +4

Many dynamical systems can be successfully analyzed by representing them as networks. Empirically measured networks and dynamic processes that take place in these situations show h…

physics.soc-ph2018

Dynamics of new strain emergence on a temporal network

Sukankana Chakraborty, Xavier R. Hoffmann, Marc G. Leguia +6

Multi-strain competition on networks is observed in many contexts, including infectious disease ecology, information dissemination or behavioral adaptation to epidemics. Despite a…

physics.soc-ph2017★ 75 cited

Epidemic Threshold in Continuous-Time Evolving Networks

Eugenio Valdano, Michele Re Fiorentin, Chiara Poletto +1

Current understanding of the critical outbreak condition on temporal networks relies on approximations (time scale separation, discretization) that may bias the results. We propose…

physics.soc-ph2016★ 20 cited

Human mobility networks and persistence of rapidly mutating pathogens

Alberto Aleta, Andreia N. S. Hisi, Sandro Meloni +3

Rapidly mutating pathogens may be able to persist in the population and reach an endemic equilibrium by escaping hosts' acquired immunity. For such diseases, multiple biological, e…

physics.soc-ph2016★ 13 cited

Impact of spatially constrained sampling of temporal contact networks on the evaluation of the epidemic risk

Christian L. Vestergaard, Eugenio Valdano, Mathieu Génois +3

The ability to directly record human face-to-face interactions increasingly enables the development of detailed data-driven models for the spread of directly transmitted infectious…

physics.soc-ph2015★ 30 cited

Infection propagator approach to compute epidemic thresholds on temporal networks: impact of immunity and of limited temporal resolution

Eugenio Valdano, Chiara Poletto, Vittoria Colizza

The epidemic threshold of a spreading process indicates the condition for the occurrence of the wide spreading regime, thus representing a predictor of the network vulnerability to…

physics.soc-ph2014★ 182 cited

Analytical computation of the epidemic threshold on temporal networks

Eugenio Valdano, Luca Ferreri, Chiara Poletto +1

The time variation of contacts in a networked system may fundamentally alter the properties of spreading processes and affect the condition for large-scale propagation, as encoded…

physics.soc-ph2014★ 83 cited

Predicting epidemic risk from past temporal contact data

Eugenio Valdano, Chiara Poletto, Armando Giovannini +3

Understanding how epidemics spread in a system is a crucial step to prevent and control outbreaks, with broad implications on the system's functioning, health, and associated costs…

physics.soc-ph2014★ 1 cited

The diffusion dynamics of choice: From durable goods markets to fashion first names

Baptiste Coulmont, Virginie Supervie, Romulus Breban

Goods, styles, ideologies are adopted by society through various mechanisms. In particular, adoption driven by innovation is extensively studied by marketing economics. Mathematica…

physics.soc-ph2014

Metapopulation epidemic models with heterogeneous mixing and travel behaviour

Andrea Apolloni, Chiara Poletto, Jose' J. Ramasco +2

The complex interplay between population movements in space and non-homogeneous mixing patterns have so far hindered the fundamental understanding of the conditions for spatial inv…