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20122026
most citedUnderstanding space weather to shield society: A global road map for 2015-2025 commissioned by COSPAR and ILWS

422 citations

Showing physics.space-phShow all

12 papers · 1 filter

physics.space-ph2026

Advancing Heliophysics and Space Weather Modeling through Open Science

C. Corti, M. M. Kuznetsova, M. A. Reiss +85

We present a community-wide effort to develop a strategy and action plan to advance heliophysics and space weather modeling through open science. While open science has the potenti…

physics.space-ph2022★ 42 cited

Multi-Hour Ahead Dst Index Prediction Using Multi-Fidelity Boosted Neural Networks

A. Hu, E. Camporeale, B. Swiger

The Disturbance storm time (Dst) index has been widely used as a proxy for the ring current intensity, and therefore as a measure of geomagnetic activity. It is derived by measurem…

physics.space-ph2022★ 17 cited

Probabilistic prediction of Dst storms one-day-ahead using Full-Disk SoHO Images

A. Hu, C. Shneider, A. Tiwari +1

We present a new model for the probability that the Disturbance storm time (Dst) index exceeds -100 nT, with a lead time between 1 and 3 days. provides essential information…

physics.space-ph2022★ 19 cited

Parameter Distributions for the Drag-Based Modeling of CME Propagation

Gianluca Napoletano, Raffaello Foldes, Enrico Camporeale +7

In recent years, ensemble modeling has been widely employed in space weather to estimate uncertainties in forecasts. We here focus on the ensemble modeling of CME arrival times and…

physics.space-ph2020★ 8 cited

Radiation Belt Response to Fast Reverse Shock at Geosynchronous Orbit

Ankush Bhaskar, David Sibeck, Shrikanth G. Kanekal +5

Fast reverse shocks (FRSs) cause the magnetosphere to expand, by contrast to the well-known compressions caused by the impact of fast forward shocks (FFS). Usually, FFSs are more g…

physics.space-ph2020★ 30 cited

Toward a Next Generation Particle Precipitation Model: Mesoscale Prediction Through Machine Learning (a Case Study and Framework for Progress)

Ryan M. McGranaghan, Jack Ziegler, Téo Bloch +7

We advance the modeling capability of electron particle precipitation from the magnetosphere to the ionosphere through a new database and use of machine learning (ML) tools to gain…

physics.space-ph2020★ 13 cited

Bayesian inference of quasi-linear radial diffusion parameters using Van Allen Probes

Rakesh Sarma, Mandar Chandorkar, Irina Zhelavskaya +3

The Van Allen radiation belts in the magnetosphere have been extensively studied using models based on radial diffusion theory, which is based on a quasi-linear approach with presc…

physics.space-ph2019★ 30 cited

A gray-box model for a probabilistic estimate of regional ground magnetic perturbations: Enhancing the NOAA operational Geospace model with machine learning

Enrico Camporeale, M. D. Cash, H. J. Singer +3

We present a novel algorithm that predicts the probability that the time derivative of the horizontal component of the ground magnetic field exceeds a specified threshold a…

physics.space-ph2018★ 169 cited

Forecasting the Arrival Time of Coronal Mass Ejections: Analysis of the CCMC CME Scoreboard

Pete Riley, Leila Mays, Jesse Andries +15

Accurate forecasting of the properties of coronal mass ejections as they approach Earth is now recognized as an important strategic objective for both NOAA and NASA. The time of ar…

physics.space-ph2015★ 422 cited

Understanding space weather to shield society: A global road map for 2015-2025 commissioned by COSPAR and ILWS

Carolus J. Schrijver, Kirsti Kauristie, Alan D. Aylward +23

There is a growing appreciation that the environmental conditions that we call space weather impact the technological infrastructure that powers the coupled economies around the wo…

physics.space-ph2012★ 13 cited

Advancing In Situ Modeling of ICMEs: New Techniques for New Observations

Tamitha Mulligan, Alysha A. Reinard, Benjamin J. Lynch

It is generally known that multi-spacecraft observations of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) more clearly reveal their three-dimensional structure than do observations…

physics.space-ph2012★ 18 cited

Composition Structure of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections From Multispacecraft Observations, Modeling, and Comparison with Numerical Simulations

Alysha Reinard, Benjamin Lynch, Tamitha Mulligan

We present an analysis of the ionic composition of iron for two interplanetary coronal mass ejections observed in May 21-23 2007 by the ACE and STEREO spacecraft in the context of…