activity
20172025
most citedModeling Interval Trendlines: Symbolic Singular Spectrum Analysis for Interval Time Series

7 citations · 17 across the 10 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

12 papers

stat.ME2025

Modelling non-stationary extremal dependence through a geometric approach

C. J. R. Murphy-Barltrop, J. L. Wadsworth, M. de Carvalho +1

Non-stationary extremal dependence, whereby the relationship between the extremes of multiple variables evolves over time, is commonly observed in many environmental and financial…

stat.ML2022

A parallelizable model-based approach for marginal and multivariate clustering

Miguel de Carvalho, Gabriel Martos Venturini, Andrej Svetlošák

This paper develops a clustering method that takes advantage of the sturdiness of model-based clustering, while attempting to mitigate some of its pitfalls. First, we note that sta…

stat.ME2022

Uncovering Regions of Maximum Dissimilarity on Random Process Data

Miguel de Carvalho, Gabriel Martos Venturini

The comparison of local characteristics of two random processes can shed light on periods of time or space at which the processes differ the most. This paper proposes a method that…

math.ST2021

Regression-type analysis for block maxima on block maxima

Miguel de Carvalho, Gonçalo dos Reis, Alina Kumukova

This paper devises a regression-type model for the situation where both the response and covariates are extreme. The proposed approach is designed for the setting where both the re…

stat.ME2020★ 2 cited

Tracking change-points in multivariate extremes

Miguel de Carvalho, Manuele Leonelli, Alex Rossi

In this paper we devise a statistical method for tracking and modeling change-points on the dependence structure of multivariate extremes. The methods are motivated by and illustra…

stat.ME2020★ 7 cited

Modeling Interval Trendlines: Symbolic Singular Spectrum Analysis for Interval Time Series

Miguel de Carvalho, Gabriel Martos

In this article we propose an extension of singular spectrum analysis for interval-valued time series. The proposed methods can be used to decompose and forecast the dynamics gover…

stat.ME2020

An Extreme Value Bayesian Lasso for the Conditional Left and Right Tails

Miguel de Carvalho, Soraia Pereira, Paula Pereira +1

We introduce a novel regression model for the conditional left and right tail of a possibly heavy-tailed response. The proposed model can be used to learn the effect of covariates…

stat.AP2020★ 1 cited

Calibration methods for spatial Data

M A Amaral Turkman, K F Turkman, P de Zea Bermudez +3

In an environmental framework, extreme values of certain spatio-temporal processes, for example wind speeds, are the main cause of severe damage in property, such as electrical net…

stat.ME2020

Robust and flexible inference for the covariate-specific ROC curve

Vanda Inacio, Vanda M. Lourenco, Miguel de Carvalho +2

Diagnostic tests are of critical importance in health care and medical research. Motivated by the impact that atypical and outlying test outcomes might have on the assessment of th…

stat.ME2018★ 1 cited

Bayesian Bootstrap Inference for the ROC Surface

Vanda Inacio de Carvalho, Miguel de Carvalho, Adam Branscum

Accurate diagnosis of disease is of great importance in clinical practice and medical research. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) surface is a popular tool for evaluating…

q-fin.ST2017★ 6 cited

Time-Varying Extreme Value Dependence with Application to Leading European Stock Markets

Daniela Castro Camilo, Miguel de Carvalho, Jennifer Wadsworth

Extremal dependence between international stock markets is of particular interest in today's global financial landscape. However, previous studies have shown this dependence is not…

stat.ME2017

Regression Type Models for Extremal Dependence

Linda Mhalla, Miguel de Carvalho, Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

We propose a vector generalized additive modeling framework for taking into account the effect of covariates on angular density functions in a multivariate extreme value context. T…