455 citations · 930 across the 30 of their papers we have counts for
7 papers · 1 filter
reGRAF: a global MPAS reforecast data set with convection-allowing refinements over the US and Europe
Thomas M Hamill, Akshay Subramaniam, Montgomery Flora +8
NVIDIA and The Weather Company (TWC) have generated a data set of reforecasts from TWC's GRAF (Global high-Resolution Atmospheric Forecasting) model, a version of the National Cent…
Anomalous Diffusion of Tropical Cyclones Observed in Huge Ensembles of Hindcasts
Abdoul R. Zeba, William D. Collins, Ankur Mahesh +5
We examine whether tropical cyclones (TCs) obey ordinary Brownian or anomalous diffusion using a huge ensemble (HENS) of hindcasts for summer 2023. Anomalous diffusion has been inf…
Scaling Storm-Resolving Atmospheric AI Simulation to the Entire Planet
Zeyuan Hu, Akshay Subramaniam, Noel Keen +9
Kilometer-scale convection shapes precipitation extremes, tropical organization, and cloud feedbacks, but most global atmospheric models approximate these processes at 25-100 km re…
Towards accurate extreme event likelihoods from diffusion model climate emulators
Peter Manshausen, Noah Brenowitz, Julius Berner +2
ML climate model emulators are useful for scenario planning and adaptation, allowing for cost-efficient experimentation. Recently, the diffusion model Climate in a Bottle (cBottle)…
Surface temperature extremes produced by huge machine learning hindcasts of summer 2023
Mark Risser, Ankur Mahesh, William D. Collins +6
The summer of 2023 brought record-breaking heat extremes across the globe. In this work, we investigate how much worse these extremes might have become, given identical large-scale…
Examining Fast Radiatively Driven Responses Using Machine-Learning Weather Emulators
Ankur Mahesh, William D. Collins, Travis A. O'Brien +10
The response of the climate system to increased greenhouse gases and other radiative perturbations is governed by a combination of fast and slow feedbacks. Slow feedbacks are typic…
HealDA: Highlighting the importance of initial errors in end-to-end AI weather forecasts
Aayush Gupta, Akshay Subramaniam, Michael S. Pritchard +6
AI weather models now rival leading numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems in medium-range skill. However, almost all still rely on NWP data assimilation (DA) to provide initia…