activity
20152026
most citedSEISMIC: A Self-Exciting Point Process Model for Predicting Tweet Popularity

483 citations · 760 across the 48 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

50 papers

stat.ML2026

SGD in Multiclass Logistic Regression: Sequential Learning and Scaling Laws

Konstantinos Christopher Tsiolis, Denny Wu, Christos Thrampoulidis +1

We study the training dynamics of multiclass logistic regression on high-dimensional Gaussian mixture models with a large number of classes and establish precise scaling laws gover…

stat.ML2026

Post-Training with Policy Gradients: Optimality and the Base Model Barrier

Alireza Mousavi-Hosseini, Murat A. Erdogdu

We study post-training linear autoregressive models with outcome and process rewards. Given a context , the model must predict the response …

cs.LG2025

From Information to Generative Exponent: Learning Rate Induces Phase Transitions in SGD

Konstantinos Christopher Tsiolis, Alireza Mousavi-Hosseini, Murat A. Erdogdu

To understand feature learning dynamics in neural networks, recent theoretical works have focused on gradient-based learning of Gaussian single-index models, where the label is a n…

math.ST2025

A Geometric Analysis of PCA

Ayoub El Hanchi, Murat Erdogdu, Chris Maddison

What property of the data distribution determines the excess risk of principal component analysis? In this paper, we provide a precise answer to this question. We establish a centr…

stat.ML2025

Learning quadratic neural networks in high dimensions: SGD dynamics and scaling laws

Gérard Ben Arous, Murat A. Erdogdu, Nuri Mert Vural +1

We study the optimization and sample complexity of gradient-based training of a two-layer neural network with quadratic activation function in the high-dimensional regime, where th…

cs.LG2025

Distributional Training Data Attribution: What do Influence Functions Sample?

Bruno Mlodozeniec, Isaac Reid, Sam Power +4

Randomness is an unavoidable part of training deep learning models, yet something that traditional training data attribution algorithms fail to rigorously account for. They ignore…

stat.ML2025

When Do Transformers Outperform Feedforward and Recurrent Networks? A Statistical Perspective

Alireza Mousavi-Hosseini, Clayton Sanford, Denny Wu +1

Theoretical efforts to prove advantages of Transformers in comparison with classical architectures such as feedforward and recurrent neural networks have mostly focused on represen…

stat.ML2024

On the Efficiency of ERM in Feature Learning

Ayoub El Hanchi, Chris J. Maddison, Murat A. Erdogdu

Given a collection of feature maps indexed by a set , we study the performance of empirical risk minimization (ERM) on regression problems with square loss over the un…

stat.ML2024

Robust Feature Learning for Multi-Index Models in High Dimensions

Alireza Mousavi-Hosseini, Adel Javanmard, Murat A. Erdogdu

Recently, there have been numerous studies on feature learning with neural networks, specifically on learning single- and multi-index models where the target is a function of a low…

stat.ML2024

Learning Multi-Index Models with Neural Networks via Mean-Field Langevin Dynamics

Alireza Mousavi-Hosseini, Denny Wu, Murat A. Erdogdu

We study the problem of learning multi-index models in high-dimensions using a two-layer neural network trained with the mean-field Langevin algorithm. Under mild distributional as…

math.ST2024

Minimax Linear Regression under the Quantile Risk

Ayoub El Hanchi, Chris J. Maddison, Murat A. Erdogdu

We study the problem of designing minimax procedures in linear regression under the quantile risk. We start by considering the realizable setting with independent Gaussian noise, w…

stat.ML2024

Pruning is Optimal for Learning Sparse Features in High-Dimensions

Nuri Mert Vural, Murat A. Erdogdu

While it is commonly observed in practice that pruning networks to a certain level of sparsity can improve the quality of the features, a theoretical explanation of this phenomenon…

math.ST2024

A Separation in Heavy-Tailed Sampling: Gaussian vs. Stable Oracles for Proximal Samplers

Ye He, Alireza Mousavi-Hosseini, Krishnakumar Balasubramanian +1

We study the complexity of heavy-tailed sampling and present a separation result in terms of obtaining high-accuracy versus low-accuracy guarantees i.e., samplers that require only…

math.ST2024

Sampling from the Mean-Field Stationary Distribution

Yunbum Kook, Matthew S. Zhang, Sinho Chewi +2

We study the complexity of sampling from the stationary distribution of a mean-field SDE, or equivalently, the complexity of minimizing a functional over the space of probability m…

math.ST2023

Optimal Excess Risk Bounds for Empirical Risk Minimization on -Norm Linear Regression

Ayoub El Hanchi, Murat A. Erdogdu

We study the performance of empirical risk minimization on the -norm linear regression problem for . We show that, in the realizable case, under no moment ass…

cs.LG2023

Beyond Labeling Oracles: What does it mean to steal ML models?

Avital Shafran, Ilia Shumailov, Murat A. Erdogdu +1

Model extraction attacks are designed to steal trained models with only query access, as is often provided through APIs that ML-as-a-Service providers offer. Machine Learning (ML)…

stat.ML2023

Gradient-Based Feature Learning under Structured Data

Alireza Mousavi-Hosseini, Denny Wu, Taiji Suzuki +1

Recent works have demonstrated that the sample complexity of gradient-based learning of single index models, i.e. functions that depend on a 1-dimensional projection of the input d…

cs.LG2023

Distributional Model Equivalence for Risk-Sensitive Reinforcement Learning

Tyler Kastner, Murat A. Erdogdu, Amir-massoud Farahmand

We consider the problem of learning models for risk-sensitive reinforcement learning. We theoretically demonstrate that proper value equivalence, a method of learning models which…

math.ST2023★ 1 cited

Towards a Complete Analysis of Langevin Monte Carlo: Beyond Poincaré Inequality

Alireza Mousavi-Hosseini, Tyler Farghly, Ye He +2

Langevin diffusions are rapidly convergent under appropriate functional inequality assumptions. Hence, it is natural to expect that with additional smoothness conditions to handle…

math.ST2023

Mean-Square Analysis of Discretized Itô Diffusions for Heavy-tailed Sampling

Ye He, Tyler Farghly, Krishnakumar Balasubramanian +1

We analyze the complexity of sampling from a class of heavy-tailed distributions by discretizing a natural class of Itô diffusions associated with weighted Poincaré inequalities. B…

math.ST2023★ 5 cited

Improved Discretization Analysis for Underdamped Langevin Monte Carlo

Matthew Zhang, Sinho Chewi, Mufan Bill Li +2

Underdamped Langevin Monte Carlo (ULMC) is an algorithm used to sample from unnormalized densities by leveraging the momentum of a particle moving in a potential well. We provide a…

stat.ML2022★ 1 cited

Generalization Bounds for Stochastic Gradient Descent via Localized -Covers

Sejun Park, Umut Şimşekli, Murat A. Erdogdu

In this paper, we propose a new covering technique localized for the trajectories of SGD. This localization provides an algorithm-specific complexity measured by the covering numbe…

stat.ML2022★ 6 cited

Neural Networks Efficiently Learn Low-Dimensional Representations with SGD

Alireza Mousavi-Hosseini, Sejun Park, Manuela Girotti +2

We study the problem of training a two-layer neural network (NN) of arbitrary width using stochastic gradient descent (SGD) where the input is Gaus…

cs.LG2022

-DkNN: Out-of-Distribution Detection Through Statistical Testing of Deep Representations

Adam Dziedzic, Stephan Rabanser, Mohammad Yaghini +3

The lack of well-calibrated confidence estimates makes neural networks inadequate in safety-critical domains such as autonomous driving or healthcare. In these settings, having the…