activity
20172023
most citedClinical Prediction Models to Predict the Risk of Multiple Binary Outcomes: a comparison of approaches

35 citations · 109 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

9 papers

stat.ME2023

Calibration plots for multistate risk predictions models: an overview and simulation comparing novel approaches

Alexander Pate, Matthew Sperrin, Richard D. Riley +9

Introduction. There is currently no guidance on how to assess the calibration of multistate models used for risk prediction. We introduce several techniques that can be used to pro…

stat.ME2022★ 11 cited

Minimum Sample Size for Developing a Multivariable Prediction Model using Multinomial Logistic Regression

Alexander Pate, Richard D Riley, Gary S Collins +4

Multinomial logistic regression models allow one to predict the risk of a categorical outcome with more than 2 categories. When developing such a model, researchers should ensure t…

stat.ME2022

Imputation and Missing Indicators for handling missing data in the development and implementation of clinical prediction models: a simulation study

Rose Sisk, Matthew Sperrin, Niels Peek +2

Background: Existing guidelines for handling missing data are generally not consistent with the goals of prediction modelling, where missing data can occur at any stage of the mode…

cs.LG2022★ 2 cited

DeepJoint: Robust Survival Modelling Under Clinical Presence Shift

Vincent Jeanselme, Glen Martin, Niels Peek +3

Observational data in medicine arise as a result of the complex interaction between patients and the healthcare system. The sampling process is often highly irregular and itself co…

stat.ME2020★ 1 cited

A scoping review of causal methods enabling predictions under hypothetical interventions

Lijing Lin, Matthew Sperrin, David A. Jenkins +2

Background and Aims: The methods with which prediction models are usually developed mean that neither the parameters nor the predictions should be interpreted causally. However, wh…

stat.ME2020★ 35 cited

Clinical Prediction Models to Predict the Risk of Multiple Binary Outcomes: a comparison of approaches

Glen P. Martin, Matthew Sperrin, Kym I. E. Snell +2

Clinical prediction models (CPMs) are used to predict clinically relevant outcomes or events. Typically, prognostic CPMs are derived to predict the risk of a single future outcome.…

cs.DL2020★ 34 cited

Towards a Framework for the Design, Implementation and Reporting of Methodology Scoping Reviews

Glen P. Martin, David Jenkins, Lucy Bull +10

Background: In view of the growth of published papers, there is an increasing need for studies that summarise scientific research. An increasingly common review is a 'Methodology s…

stat.AP2019★ 26 cited

Examining the impact of data quality and completeness of electronic health records on predictions of patients risks of cardiovascular disease

Yan Li, Matthew Sperrin, Glen P. Martin +2

The objective is to assess the extent of variation of data quality and completeness of electronic health records and impact on the robustness of risk predictions of incident cardio…

stat.ME2017

Using marginal structural models to adjust for treatment drop-in when developing clinical prediction models

Matthew Sperrin, Glen Martin, Tjeerd Van Staa +2

Objectives: Clinical prediction models (CPMs) can inform decision-making concerning treatment initiation. Here, one requires predicted risks assuming that no treatment is given. Th…