219 citations · 942 across the 36 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers · 1 filter
On the accuracy of short-term COVID-19 fatality forecasts
Nino Antulov-Fantulin, Lucas Böttcher
Forecasting new cases, hospitalizations, and disease-induced deaths is an important part of infectious disease surveillance and helps guide health officials in implementing effecti…
Some Challenges in Monitoring Epidemics
Vaiva Vasiliauskaite, Nino Antulov-Fantulin, Dirk Helbing
Epidemic models often reflect characteristic features of infectious spreading processes by coupled non-linear differential equations considering different states of health (such as…
Unifying continuous, discrete, and hybrid susceptible-infected-recovered processes on networks
Lucas Böttcher, Nino Antulov-Fantulin
Waiting times between two consecutive infection and recovery events in spreading processes are often assumed to be exponentially distributed, which results in Markovian (i.e., memo…
Epidemic centrality - is there an underestimated epidemic impact of network peripheral nodes?
Mile Sikic, Alen Lancic, Nino Antulov-Fantulin +1
In the study of disease spreading on empirical complex networks in SIR model, initially infected nodes can be ranked according to some measure of their epidemic impact. The highest…
Phase diagram of epidemic spreading - unimodal vs. bimodal probability distributions
Alen Lancic, Nino Antulov-Fantulin, Mile Sikic +1
The disease spreading on complex networks is studied in SIR model. Simulations on empirical complex networks reveal two specific regimes of disease spreading: local containment and…