25 citations · 30 across the 4 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers
Singular vector ensemble forecasting systems and the prediction of flow dependent uncertainty
Stephen Jewson, Maarten Ambaum, Christine Ziehmann
The ECMWF ensemble weather forecasts are generated by perturbing the initial conditions of the forecast using a subset of the singular vectors of the linearised propagator. Previou…
Five guidelines for the evaluation of site-specific medium range probabilistic temperature forecasts
Stephen Jewson, Christine Ziehmann
Probabilistic temperature forecasts are potentially useful to the energy and weather derivatives industries. However, at present, they are little used. There are a number of reason…
A note on the use of the word 'likelihood' in statistics and meteorology
Stephen Jewson, Anders Brix, Christine Ziehmann
We highlight the different uses of the word 'likelihood' that have arisen in statistics and meteorology, and make the recommendation that one of these uses should be dropped to pre…
A New Framework for the Assessment and Calibration of Medium Range Ensemble Temperature Forecasts
Stephen Jewson, Anders Brix, Christine Ziehmann
We present a new framework for the assessment and calibration of medium range ensemble temperature forecasts. The method is based on maximising the likelihood of a simple parametri…