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physics.ao-ph2017★ 1 cited
When tails wag the decision: The role of distributional tails on climate impacts on decision-relevant time-scales
Gregory G. Garner, Klaus Keller
Assessing and managing risks in a changing climate requires projections that account for decision-relevant uncertainties. These deep uncertainties are often approximated by ensembl…
physics.ao-ph2017
Understanding the detectability of potential changes to the 100-year peak storm surge
Robert L. Ceres, Chris E. Forest, Klaus Keller
In many coastal communities, the risks driven by storm surges are motivating substantial investments in flood risk management. The design of adaptive risk management strategies, ho…