activity
20172026
most citedExact minimax risk for linear least squares, and the lower tail of sample covariance matrices

32 citations · 88 across the 15 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

16 papers

math.ST2026

Ratio Covers of Convex Sets and Optimal Mixture Density Estimation

Spencer Compton, Gábor Lugosi, Jaouad Mourtada +2

We study density estimation in Kullback-Leibler divergence: given an i.i.d. sample from an unknown density , the goal is to construct an estimator such that…

math.ST2025

Estimation of discrete distributions in relative entropy, and the deviations of the missing mass

Jaouad Mourtada

We study the problem of estimating a distribution over a finite alphabet from an i.i.d. sample, with accuracy measured in relative entropy (Kullback-Leibler divergence). While opti…

math.ST2024

Finite-sample performance of the maximum likelihood estimator in logistic regression

Hugo Chardon, Matthieu Lerasle, Jaouad Mourtada

Logistic regression is a classical model for describing the probabilistic dependence of binary responses to multivariate covariates. We consider the predictive performance of the m…

math.ST2023

Local Risk Bounds for Statistical Aggregation

Jaouad Mourtada, Tomas Vaškevičius, Nikita Zhivotovskiy

In the problem of aggregation, the aim is to combine a given class of base predictors to achieve predictions nearly as accurate as the best one. In this flexible framework, no assu…

cs.IT2023

Universal coding, intrinsic volumes, and metric complexity

Jaouad Mourtada

We study sequential probability assignment in the Gaussian setting, where the goal is to predict, or equivalently compress, a sequence of real-valued observations almost as well as…

math.ST2022

An elementary analysis of ridge regression with random design

Jaouad Mourtada, Lorenzo Rosasco

In this note, we provide an elementary analysis of the prediction error of ridge regression with random design. The proof is short and self-contained. In particular, it bypasses th…

math.ST2021★ 11 cited

Distribution-Free Robust Linear Regression

Jaouad Mourtada, Tomas Vaškevičius, Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We study random design linear regression with no assumptions on the distribution of the covariates and with a heavy-tailed response variable. In this distribution-free regression s…

stat.ML2020★ 1 cited

The Nyström method for convex loss functions

Andrea Della Vecchia, Ernesto De Vito, Jaouad Mourtada +1

We investigate an extension of classical empirical risk minimization, where the hypothesis space consists of a random subspace within a given Hilbert space. Specifically, we examin…

math.ST2020★ 20 cited

Asymptotics of Ridge (less) Regression under General Source Condition

Dominic Richards, Jaouad Mourtada, Lorenzo Rosasco

We analyze the prediction error of ridge regression in an asymptotic regime where the sample size and dimension go to infinity at a proportional rate. In particular, we consider th…

math.ST2019★ 1 cited

An improper estimator with optimal excess risk in misspecified density estimation and logistic regression

Jaouad Mourtada, Stéphane Gaïffas

We introduce a procedure for conditional density estimation under logarithmic loss, which we call SMP (Sample Minmax Predictor). This estimator minimizes a new general excess risk…

math.ST2019★ 32 cited

Exact minimax risk for linear least squares, and the lower tail of sample covariance matrices

Jaouad Mourtada

We consider random-design linear prediction and related questions on the lower tail of random matrices. It is known that, under boundedness constraints, the minimax risk is of orde…

stat.ML2019

AMF: Aggregated Mondrian Forests for Online Learning

Jaouad Mourtada, Stéphane Gaïffas, Erwan Scornet

Random Forests (RF) is one of the algorithms of choice in many supervised learning applications, be it classification or regression. The appeal of such tree-ensemble methods comes…

stat.ML2018★ 13 cited

On the optimality of the Hedge algorithm in the stochastic regime

Jaouad Mourtada, Stéphane Gaïffas

In this paper, we study the behavior of the Hedge algorithm in the online stochastic setting. We prove that anytime Hedge with decreasing learning rate, which is one of the simples…

stat.ML2018

Minimax optimal rates for Mondrian trees and forests

Jaouad Mourtada, Stéphane Gaïffas, Erwan Scornet

Introduced by Breiman, Random Forests are widely used classification and regression algorithms. While being initially designed as batch algorithms, several variants have been propo…

stat.ML2017★ 2 cited

Universal consistency and minimax rates for online Mondrian Forests

Jaouad Mourtada, Stéphane Gaïffas, Erwan Scornet

We establish the consistency of an algorithm of Mondrian Forests, a randomized classification algorithm that can be implemented online. First, we amend the original Mondrian Forest…

stat.ML2017★ 8 cited

Efficient tracking of a growing number of experts

Jaouad Mourtada, Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

We consider a variation on the problem of prediction with expert advice, where new forecasters that were unknown until then may appear at each round. As often in prediction with ex…