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stat.ME2025
Fair Box ordinate transform for forecasts following a multivariate Gaussian law
Sándor Baran, Martin Leutbecher
Monte Carlo techniques are the method of choice for making probabilistic predictions of an outcome in several disciplines. Usually, the aim is to generate calibrated predictions wh…
stat.ME2024
Ensemble size dependence of the logarithmic score for forecasts issued as multivariate normal distributions
Martin Leutbecher, Sándor Baran
Multivariate probabilistic verification is concerned with the evaluation of joint probability distributions of vector quantities such as a weather variable at multiple locations or…