activity
20142025
most citedAccurate Uncertainties for Deep Learning Using Calibrated Regression

352 citations · 785 across the 28 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

28 papers

cs.LG2025★ 1 cited

Probabilistic Graphical Models: A Concise Tutorial

Jacqueline Maasch, Willie Neiswanger, Stefano Ermon +1

Probabilistic graphical modeling is a branch of machine learning that uses probability distributions to describe the world, make predictions, and support decision-making under unce…

cs.CL2025★ 1 cited

Mercury: Ultra-Fast Language Models Based on Diffusion

Inception Labs, Samar Khanna, Siddhant Kharbanda +10

We present Mercury, a new generation of commercial-scale large language models (LLMs) based on diffusion. These models are parameterized via the Transformer architecture and traine…

cs.LG2024

Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasts for Arbitrary Sequences

Charles Marx, Volodymyr Kuleshov, Stefano Ermon

Real-world data streams can change unpredictably due to distribution shifts, feedback loops and adversarial actors, which challenges the validity of forecasts. We present a forecas…

cs.LG2023★ 24 cited

QuIP: 2-Bit Quantization of Large Language Models With Guarantees

Jerry Chee, Yaohui Cai, Volodymyr Kuleshov +1

This work studies post-training parameter quantization in large language models (LLMs). We introduce quantization with incoherence processing (QuIP), a new method based on the insi…

cs.LG2023★ 3 cited

InfoDiffusion: Representation Learning Using Information Maximizing Diffusion Models

Yingheng Wang, Yair Schiff, Aaron Gokaslan +4

While diffusion models excel at generating high-quality samples, their latent variables typically lack semantic meaning and are not suitable for representation learning. Here, we p…

stat.ME2023★ 1 cited

Calibrated and Conformal Propensity Scores for Causal Effect Estimation

Shachi Deshpande, Volodymyr Kuleshov

Propensity scores are commonly used to estimate treatment effects from observational data. We argue that the probabilistic output of a learned propensity score model should be cali…

cs.LG2023

Calibrated Regression Against An Adversary Without Regret

Shachi Deshpande, Charles Marx, Volodymyr Kuleshov

We are interested in probabilistic prediction in online settings in which data does not follow a probability distribution. Our work seeks to achieve two goals: (1) producing valid…

cs.CL2022

Model Criticism for Long-Form Text Generation

Yuntian Deng, Volodymyr Kuleshov, Alexander M. Rush

Language models have demonstrated the ability to generate highly fluent text; however, it remains unclear whether their output retains coherent high-level structure (e.g., story pr…

cs.LG2022

Regularized Data Programming with Automated Bayesian Prior Selection

Jacqueline R. M. A. Maasch, Hao Zhang, Qian Yang +2

The cost of manual data labeling can be a significant obstacle in supervised learning. Data programming (DP) offers a weakly supervised solution for training dataset creation, wher…

cs.LG2022★ 1 cited

Semi-Autoregressive Energy Flows: Exploring Likelihood-Free Training of Normalizing Flows

Phillip Si, Zeyi Chen, Subham Sekhar Sahoo +2

Training normalizing flow generative models can be challenging due to the need to calculate computationally expensive determinants of Jacobians. This paper studies the likelihood-f…

cs.LG2022★ 11 cited

Backpropagation through Combinatorial Algorithms: Identity with Projection Works

Subham Sekhar Sahoo, Anselm Paulus, Marin Vlastelica +3

Embedding discrete solvers as differentiable layers has given modern deep learning architectures combinatorial expressivity and discrete reasoning capabilities. The derivative of t…

cs.LG2022★ 1 cited

Semi-Parametric Inducing Point Networks and Neural Processes

Richa Rastogi, Yair Schiff, Alon Hacohen +5

We introduce semi-parametric inducing point networks (SPIN), a general-purpose architecture that can query the training set at inference time in a compute-efficient manner. Semi-pa…

cs.LG2022★ 4 cited

Deep Multi-Modal Structural Equations For Causal Effect Estimation With Unstructured Proxies

Shachi Deshpande, Kaiwen Wang, Dhruv Sreenivas +2

Estimating the effect of intervention from observational data while accounting for confounding variables is a key task in causal inference. Oftentimes, the confounders are unobserv…

cs.LG2021

Quantifying and Understanding Adversarial Examples in Discrete Input Spaces

Volodymyr Kuleshov, Evgenii Nikishin, Shantanu Thakoor +2

Modern classification algorithms are susceptible to adversarial examples--perturbations to inputs that cause the algorithm to produce undesirable behavior. In this work, we seek to…

cs.LG2021★ 4 cited

Calibrated and Sharp Uncertainties in Deep Learning via Density Estimation

Volodymyr Kuleshov, Shachi Deshpande

Accurate probabilistic predictions can be characterized by two properties -- calibration and sharpness. However, standard maximum likelihood training yields models that are poorly…

cs.LG2021★ 4 cited

Autoregressive Quantile Flows for Predictive Uncertainty Estimation

Phillip Si, Allan Bishop, Volodymyr Kuleshov

Numerous applications of machine learning involve representing probability distributions over high-dimensional data. We propose autoregressive quantile flows, a flexible class of n…

cs.LG2021

Online Calibrated and Conformal Prediction Improves Bayesian Optimization

Shachi Deshpande, Charles Marx, Volodymyr Kuleshov

Accurate uncertainty estimates are important in sequential model-based decision-making tasks such as Bayesian optimization. However, these estimates can be imperfect if the data vi…

cs.AI2021★ 1 cited

Clinical Evidence Engine: Proof-of-Concept For A Clinical-Domain-Agnostic Decision Support Infrastructure

Bojian Hou, Hao Zhang, Gur Ladizhinsky +4

Abstruse learning algorithms and complex datasets increasingly characterize modern clinical decision support systems (CDSS). As a result, clinicians cannot easily or rapidly scruti…

cs.LG2019★ 21 cited

Temporal FiLM: Capturing Long-Range Sequence Dependencies with Feature-Wise Modulations

Sawyer Birnbaum, Volodymyr Kuleshov, Zayd Enam +2

Learning representations that accurately capture long-range dependencies in sequential inputs -- including text, audio, and genomic data -- is a key problem in deep learning. Feed-…

cs.LG2019★ 22 cited

Calibrated Model-Based Deep Reinforcement Learning

Ali Malik, Volodymyr Kuleshov, Jiaming Song +3

Estimates of predictive uncertainty are important for accurate model-based planning and reinforcement learning. However, predictive uncertainties---especially ones derived from mod…

cs.LG2018★ 352 cited

Accurate Uncertainties for Deep Learning Using Calibrated Regression

Volodymyr Kuleshov, Nathan Fenner, Stefano Ermon

Methods for reasoning under uncertainty are a key building block of accurate and reliable machine learning systems. Bayesian methods provide a general framework to quantify uncerta…

cs.LG2018★ 3 cited

Adversarial Constraint Learning for Structured Prediction

Hongyu Ren, Russell Stewart, Jiaming Song +2

Constraint-based learning reduces the burden of collecting labels by having users specify general properties of structured outputs, such as constraints imposed by physical laws. We…

cs.LG2017★ 2 cited

Neural Variational Inference and Learning in Undirected Graphical Models

Volodymyr Kuleshov, Stefano Ermon

Many problems in machine learning are naturally expressed in the language of undirected graphical models. Here, we propose black-box learning and inference algorithms for undirecte…

cs.SD2017★ 39 cited

Audio Super Resolution using Neural Networks

Volodymyr Kuleshov, S. Zayd Enam, Stefano Ermon

We introduce a new audio processing technique that increases the sampling rate of signals such as speech or music using deep convolutional neural networks. Our model is trained on…