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stat.ME2026
Synthetic Nearest Neighbors: Extending Synthetic Controls for Matrix Completion with Missing Not at Random Data
Anish Agarwal, Munther Dahleh, Devavrat Shah +1
We develop a causal framework for matrix completion under missing not at random (MNAR) data. Drawing on synthetic controls from the econometric panel data literature, our approach…
econ.EM2026
From Control to Treatment: Causal Forecasting Beyond the Observed Panel
Dennis Shen
Conventional panel data methods recover retrospective counterfactuals within the observed horizon. Many policy decisions, however, are prospective: how would an untreated unit evol…