1.3k citations · 1.3k across the 4 of their papers we have counts for
7 papers
Randomized Smoothing of All Shapes and Sizes
Greg Yang, Tony Duan, J. Edward Hu +3
Randomized smoothing is the current state-of-the-art defense with provable robustness against adversarial attacks. Many works have devised new randomized smoothing schemes…
Missingness as Stability: Understanding the Structure of Missingness in Longitudinal EHR data and its Impact on Reinforcement Learning in Healthcare
Scott L. Fleming, Kuhan Jeyapragasan, Tony Duan +4
There is an emerging trend in the reinforcement learning for healthcare literature. In order to prepare longitudinal, irregularly sampled, clinical datasets for reinforcement learn…
Graph Embedding VAE: A Permutation Invariant Model of Graph Structure
Tony Duan, Juho Lee
Generative models of graph structure have applications in biology and social sciences. The state of the art is GraphRNN, which decomposes the graph generation process into a series…
NGBoost: Natural Gradient Boosting for Probabilistic Prediction
Tony Duan, Anand Avati, Daisy Yi Ding +4
We present Natural Gradient Boosting (NGBoost), an algorithm for generic probabilistic prediction via gradient boosting. Typical regression models return a point estimate, conditio…
Counterfactual Reasoning for Fair Clinical Risk Prediction
Stephen Pfohl, Tony Duan, Daisy Yi Ding +1
The use of machine learning systems to support decision making in healthcare raises questions as to what extent these systems may introduce or exacerbate disparities in care for hi…
Countdown Regression: Sharp and Calibrated Survival Predictions
Anand Avati, Tony Duan, Sharon Zhou +3
Probabilistic survival predictions from models trained with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) can have high, and sometimes unacceptably high variance. The field of meteorology, w…