3 papers
stat.OT2023
Monografía de Estadística Bayesiana
Arturo Erdely, Eduardo Gutiérrez-Peña
Course notes about an introduction to Bayesian Statistics. First, an explanation of the bayesian paradigm is motivated and explained in detail (first three chapters). Then, a brief…
stat.AP2018
Análisis estadístico ex post del conteo rápido institucional de la elección de gobernador del Estado de México en 2017
Arturo Erdely
A statistical analysis of an electoral quick count based on the total count of votes in the election of the State of Mexico's governor in 2017 is performed in order to verify preci…
stat.AP2018
La falacia del empate técnico electoral
Arturo Erdely
It is argued that the concept of "technical tie" in electoral polls and quick counts has no probabilistic basis, and that instead the uncertainty associated with these statistical…