activity
20182023
most citedTime-uniform, nonparametric, nonasymptotic confidence sequences

116 citations · 238 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

6 papers

stat.ML2023

Time-uniform confidence bands for the CDF under nonstationarity

Paul Mineiro, Steven R. Howard

Estimation of the complete distribution of a random variable is a useful primitive for both manual and automated decision making. This problem has received extensive attention in t…

math.ST2019★ 35 cited

Sequential estimation of quantiles with applications to A/B-testing and best-arm identification

Steven R. Howard, Aaditya Ramdas

We propose confidence sequences -- sequences of confidence intervals which are valid uniformly over time -- for quantiles of any distribution over a complete, fully-ordered set, ba…

stat.ME2019

The uniform general signed rank test and its design sensitivity

Steven R. Howard, Samuel D. Pimentel

A sensitivity analysis in an observational study tests whether the qualitative conclusions of an analysis would change if we were to allow for the possibility of limited bias due t…

math.ST2018★ 116 cited

Time-uniform, nonparametric, nonasymptotic confidence sequences

Steven R. Howard, Aaditya Ramdas, Jon McAuliffe +1

A confidence sequence is a sequence of confidence intervals that is uniformly valid over an unbounded time horizon. Our work develops confidence sequences whose widths go to zero,…

math.PR2018★ 85 cited

Time-uniform Chernoff bounds via nonnegative supermartingales

Steven R. Howard, Aaditya Ramdas, Jon McAuliffe +1

We develop a class of exponential bounds for the probability that a martingale sequence crosses a time-dependent linear threshold. Our key insight is that it is both natural and fr…

cs.DC2018★ 2 cited

Cataloging the Visible Universe through Bayesian Inference at Petascale

Jeffrey Regier, Kiran Pamnany, Keno Fischer +9

Astronomical catalogs derived from wide-field imaging surveys are an important tool for understanding the Universe. We construct an astronomical catalog from 55 TB of imaging data…