2 papers
stat.AP2025
A new approach to probabilistic population forecasting with an application to Estonia
David A. Swanson, Jeff Tayman
This paper shows how measures of uncertainty can be applied to existing population forecasts using Estonia as a case study. The measures of forecast uncertainty are relatively easy…
q-bio.PE2025
Human Extinction A Demographic Perspective
David A. Swanson, Jeff Tayman
Studies that predict species extinction have focused on a range of flora and fauna but in regard to Homo sapiens there are, with one notable exception, no predictive studies, only…