3 papers
q-bio.PE2026
Jointly estimating transmissibility and prior immunity from epidemic time series
David J. D. Earn, Todd L. Parsons
Infectious disease time series are often used to estimate a pathogen's basic reproduction number, . However, fits of epidemic models to time series conflate pathogen transmiss…
q-bio.PE2026
Epidemic "momentum" and a conservation law for infectious disease dynamics
David J. D. Earn, Todd L. Parsons
Infectious disease outbreaks have precipitated a profusion of mathematical models. Epidemic curves predicted by these models are typically qualitatively similar, despite distinct m…
q-bio.PE2025
Global stability of epidemic models with uniform susceptibility
David J. D. Earn, C. Connell McCluskey
Transmission dynamics of infectious diseases are often studied using compartmental mathematical models, which are commonly represented as systems of autonomous ordinary differentia…