2 papers
econ.EM2025
A Bayesian Gaussian Process Dynamic Factor Model
Tony Chernis, Niko Hauzenberger, Haroon Mumtaz +1
We propose a dynamic factor model (DFM) where the latent factors are linked to observed variables with unknown and potentially nonlinear functions. The key novelty and source of fl…
stat.ME2025
Decision synthesis in monetary policy
Tony Chernis, Gary Koop, Emily Tallman +1
The macroeconomy is a sophisticated dynamic system involving significant uncertainties that complicate modelling. In response, decision-makers consider multiple models that provide…