587 citations · 1.5k across the 25 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers · 1 filter
Coupled mechano-electrokinetic Burridge-Knopoff model of fault sliding events and transient geoelectric signals
Hong-Jia Chen, Chien-Chih Chen, Guy Ouillon +1
We introduce the first fully self-consistent model combining the seismic micro-ruptures occurring within a generalized Burridge-Knopoff spring-block model with the nucleation and p…
A paradigm for developing earthquake probability forecasts based on geoelectric data
Hong-Jia Chen, Chien-Chih Chen, Guy Ouillon +1
We examine the precursory behavior of geoelectric signals before large earthquakes by means of an algorithm including an alarm-based model and binary classification. This algorithm…
Forecasting the full distribution of earthquake numbers is fair, robust and better
Shyam Nandan, Guy Ouillon, Didier Sornette +1
Forecasting the full distribution of the number of earthquakes is revealed to be inherently superior to forecasting their mean. Forecasting the full distribution of earthquake numb…
Forecasting the rates of future aftershocks of all generations is essential to develop better earthquake forecast models
Shyam Nandan, Guy Ouillon, Didier Sornette +1
Currently, one of the best performing and most popular earthquake forecasting models rely on the working hypothesis that: "locations of past background earthquakes reveal the proba…
Magnitude Of Earthquakes Controls The Size Distribution Of Their Triggered Events
Shyam Nandan, Guy Ouillon, Didier Sornette
The driving concept behind one of the most successful statistical forecasting models, the ETAS model, has been that the seismicity is driven by spontaneously occurring background e…