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20242026
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stat.ML2026

Fitted Occupancy-Ratio Evaluation without Bellman Completeness

Lars van der Laan, Nathan Kallus

Occupancy ratios correct distribution shift in offline reinforcement learning and are central to off-policy evaluation. Existing primal-dual and minimax methods typically estimate…

stat.ML2026

Stationary Reweighting Yields Local Convergence of Soft Fitted Q-Iteration

Lars van der Laan, Nathan Kallus

Fitted -iteration (FQI) and soft FQI are widely used value-based methods for offline reinforcement learning, but their standard stability guarantees often depend on Bellman comp…

stat.ML2026

Fitted Evaluation Without Bellman Completeness via Stationary Weighting

Lars van der Laan, Nathan Kallus

Fitted -evaluation (FQE) is a standard regression-based tool for off-policy evaluation, but existing stability guarantees often rely on Bellman completeness, a strong closure co…

stat.ML2026

Bellman Calibration for -Learning in Offline Reinforcement Learning

Lars van der Laan, Nathan Kallus

Reliable long-horizon value prediction is difficult in offline reinforcement learning because fitted value methods combine bootstrapping, function approximation, and distribution s…

stat.ML2025

Semiparametric Double Reinforcement Learning with Applications to Long-Term Causal Inference

Lars van der Laan, David Hubbard, Allen Tran +3

Double reinforcement learning (DRL) provides efficient off-policy inference for policy values in nonparametric Markov decision processes (MDPs), but fully nonparametric estimators…