From the 1 of 5 linked papers with an AI index.
5 papers
AIFS-TC: A simple correction competitive with the operational frontier for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting
Anna Allen, Wessel P. Bruinsma, Michael Maier-Gerber +3
AI weather models are in the process of revolutionising weather forecasting. While these models have been shown to achieve superior performance to physics-based NWP in forecasting…
HourGlass: A probabilistic data-driven temporal downscaler for global and regional weather forecasting
Magnus Sikora Ingstad, Mariana C. A. Clare, Olav Ersland +16
HourGlass is a probabilistic, data‑driven method that downscales 6‑hourly weather forecasts to hourly resolution, preserving small‑scale spatial detail and temporal consistency.
Evaluation of medium range machine learning models for sub-seasonal prediction
Catherine de Burgh-Day, Chen Li, Debra Hudson +4
The performance of two machine learning (ML) atmosphere models - GraphCast and FourCastNetV2 - is evaluated in the context of sub-seasonal prediction, including their ability to re…
Representing the Surface Ocean in ECMWF's data-driven forecasting system AIFS
Sara Hahner, Lorenzo Zampieri, Jean-Raymond Bidlot +22
Machine-learning (ML) models, such as the AIFS at the ECMWF, have revolutionised weather forecasting in recent years. We present an extension of the AIFS that jointly models the at…
An update to ECMWF's machine-learned weather forecast model AIFS
Gabriel Moldovan, Ewan Pinnington, Ana Prieto Nemesio +18
We present an update to ECMWF's machine-learned weather forecasting model AIFS Single with several key improvements. The model now incorporates physical consistency constraints thr…