activity
20142026
most citedPractical considerations for specifying a super learner

134 citations · 468 across the 85 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

88 papers

stat.ME2026

Small area learning

Katarzyna Reluga, Nicola Salvati, Setareh Ranjbar +2

Small area estimation (SAE) traditionally borrows strength across domains through a prespecified working model. We introduce small area learning (SAL), a learner-agnostic framework…

stat.ME2026

A Causal Inference Approach for Evaluating Diagnostic Tests and AI-Enabled Medical Devices: From Effect Modification to Information-Augmented Decision-Making

Wenxin Zhang, Rachael Phillips, Mark van der Laan

Diagnostic medical tests and devices provide useful information for evaluating the potential benefits and risks of therapeutic treatments. However, unlike treatments, their impact…

stat.ME2026

Longitudinal Adaptive Experimental Design for Learning Multiple Target Estimands with Semiparametric Efficient Inference

Wenxin Zhang, Mark van der Laan

Adaptive designs are increasingly used in clinical trials and digital experiments to improve estimation efficiency by updating treatment randomization probabilities as data accumul…

stat.ME2026

Towards Best Practices for Covariate Adjustment in Regulatory Trials: From Fixed to Data-Adaptive Approaches

Laura B. Balzer, Lei Nie, Issa J. Dahabreh +15

While randomization justifies the use of unadjusted effect estimators in randomized trials, there is growing interest in covariate adjustment to improve precision. Adjusting for ba…

stat.ME2026

The V-fold jackknife for semiparametric inference: variance estimation, confidence intervals, and simultaneous confidence bands

Yi Li, Ashkan Ertefaie, Mark van der Laan

For decades, the bootstrap has been a default tool for statistical inference because of its broad applicability and minimal analytic requirements. Although its validity is well und…

stat.ME2026

Targeted Highly Adaptive Lasso Minimum Loss Estimation of Target Functions

Vanessa Rodriguez, Karla Diaz-Ordaz, Brieuc Lehmann +1

We propose a Targeted Highly Adaptive Lasso for estimation of non-pathwise differentiable functional parameters such as the dose-response curve (DRC) for continuous exposure. We as…

stat.ME2026

Targeted maximum likelihood estimation for longitudinal two-stage designs with outcome subsampling

Kirsten E. Landsiedel, Maya L. Petersen, Mark J. van der Laan

We consider efficient estimation of causal parameters in longitudinal two-stage designs with outcome subsampling, motivated by resampling designs in HIV-related mortality studies.…

stat.ME2026

Higher-Order Efficient Estimators: A Review and Simulation-Based Benchmark Study

Zeyi Wang, Mark J. van der Laan

Higher-order efficient estimators extend standard first-order semiparametric estimators by replacing second-order residuals with third- or higher-order terms, potentially enabling…

stat.ME2026

Improving the Efficiency of Subgroup Analysis in Randomized Controlled Trials with TMLE

Sky Qiu, Nerissa Nance, Rachael Phillips +3

Subgroup analyses within randomized controlled trials are often underpowered due to limited sample sizes. We address this challenge by leveraging trial participants outside the sub…

stat.ME2026

Estimation of treatment effects in presence of differential use of post-randomization concomitant medication with time-to-event outcomes

Helene C. W. Rytgaard, Edwin Fong, Jens M. Tarp +3

In placebo-controlled randomized trials, the post-randomization use of concomitant medications may be higher in the placebo arm than in the treatment arm. This may dilute the full…

stat.ME2026

Considerations for the Integration of Randomized Controlled Trials and Real-World Data

Sky Qiu, Charles Barr, Lauren Dang +18

As clinical decision-making increasingly moves toward individualized and context-specific treatment recommendations, reliance on any single evidence source, randomized or observati…

stat.ME2026★ 1 cited

Efficient Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimators for Two-Phase Design Problems

Sky Qiu, Susan Gruber, Pamela A. Shaw +2

In a typical two-phase design, a random sample is drawn from the target population in phase 1, during which only a subset of variables is collected. In phase 2, a subsample of the…

math.ST2026

HAL-MLE Log-Splines Density Estimation (Part I: Univariate)

Yilong Hou, Zhengpu Zhao, Yi Li +1

We study nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation of probability densities under a total variation (TV) type penalty, sectional variation norm (also named as Hardy-Krause variat…

math.ST2025

Causal inference via implied interventions

Carlos García Meixide, Mark J. van der Laan

In the context of having an instrumental variable, the standard practice in causal inference begins by targeting an effect of interest and proceeds by formulating assumptions enabl…

stat.AP2025★ 1 cited

Semi-parametric efficient estimation of small genetic effects in large-scale population cohorts

Olivier Labayle, Breeshey Roskams-Hieter, Joshua Slaughter +5

Population genetics seeks to quantify DNA variant associations with traits or diseases, as well as interactions among variants and with environmental factors. Computing millions of…

stat.ME2025

Targeted Learning Estimation of Sampling Variance for Improved Inference

Yunwen Ji, Mark van der Laan, Alan Hubbard

For robust statistical inference it is crucial to obtain a good estimator of the variance of the proposed estimator of the statistical estimand. A commonly used estimator of the va…

stat.ME2025

An Estimator-Robust Design for Augmenting Randomized Controlled Trials with External Real-World Data

Sky Qiu, Jens Tarp, Andrew Mertens +1

Augmenting randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with external real-world data (RWD) has the potential to improve the finite sample efficiency of treatment effect estimators. We desc…

stat.ME2024★ 3 cited

Assessing treatment effects in observational data with missing confounders: A comparative study of practical doubly-robust and traditional missing data methods

Brian D. Williamson, Chloe Krakauer, Eric Johnson +13

In pharmacoepidemiology, safety and effectiveness are frequently evaluated using readily available administrative and electronic health records data. In these settings, detailed co…

stat.ME2024

An Online Meta-Level Adaptive Design Framework with Targeted Learning Inference: Applications to Evaluating and Utilizing Surrogate Outcomes in Adaptive Designs

Wenxin Zhang, Aaron Hudson, Maya Petersen +1

Adaptive designs are increasingly used in clinical trials and online experiments to improve participant outcomes by dynamically updating treatment allocation as data accumulate. In…

cs.AI2024★ 1 cited

Large Language Models as Co-Pilots for Causal Inference in Medical Studies

Ahmed Alaa, Rachael V. Phillips, Emre Kıcıman +3

The validity of medical studies based on real-world clinical data, such as observational studies, depends on critical assumptions necessary for drawing causal conclusions about med…

stat.ME2024

Data-Adaptive Identification of Effect Modifiers through Stochastic Shift Interventions and Cross-Validated Targeted Learning

David McCoy, Wenxin Zhang, Alan Hubbard +2

In epidemiology, identifying subpopulations that are particularly vulnerable to exposures and those who may benefit differently from exposure-reducing interventions is essential. F…

stat.ME2024★ 1 cited

HAL-Based Plug-in Estimation with Pointwise Asymptotic Normality of the Causal Dose-Response Curve

Junming Shi, Wenxin Zhang, Alan E. Hubbard +1

Estimating and obtaining reliable inference for the marginally adjusted causal dose-response curve for continuous treatments without relying on parametric assumptions is a well-kno…

stat.ME2024★ 3 cited

Adaptive-TMLE for the Average Treatment Effect based on Randomized Controlled Trial Augmented with Real-World Data

Mark van der Laan, Sky Qiu, Jens Magelund Tarp +1

We consider the problem of estimating the average treatment effect (ATE) when both randomized control trial (RCT) data and external real-world data (RWD) are available. We decompos…

math.ST2024★ 1 cited

Estimating conditional hazard functions and densities with the highly-adaptive lasso

Anders Munch, Thomas A. Gerds, Mark J. van der Laan +1

We consider estimation of conditional hazard functions and densities over the class of multivariate càdlàg functions with uniformly bounded sectional variation norm when data are e…