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stat.AP2025
Forecasting Extreme Temperatures in Siberia Using Supervised Learning and Conformal Prediction Regions
Richard A. Berk, Amy Braverman
In this paper, we step back from a variety of competing heat wave definitions and forecast directly unusually high temperatures. Our testbed is the Russian Far East in the summers…
stat.AP2024
Algorithmic Forecasting of Extreme Heat Waves
Richard A. Berk, Amy Braverman, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla
This paper provides some foundations for valid forecasting of rare and extreme heat waves through a better understanding of the similarities and differences between several consecu…