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stat.ME2025
Bootstrap prediction intervals for the age distribution of life-table death counts
Han Lin Shang
We introduce a nonparametric bootstrap procedure based on a dynamic factor model to construct pointwise prediction intervals for period life-table death counts. The age distributio…
stat.ME2025
Forecasting a time series of Lorenz curves: One-way functional analysis of variance
Han Lin Shang
The Lorenz curve is a fundamental tool for analysing income and wealth distribution and inequality at national and regional levels. We utilise a one-way functional analysis of vari…
stat.ME2021
A model sufficiency test using permutation entropy
Xin Huang, Han Lin Shang, David Pitt
Using the ordinal pattern concept in permutation entropy, we propose a model sufficiency test to study a given model's point prediction accuracy. Compared to some classical model s…