6 papers
Systemic Methodological Dysfunction in Statistical Research for Clinical Decisions
Charles F. Manski
I critique a set of entrenched methodological conventions that collectively create systemic dysfunction in statistical research for clinical decisions. These include: (1) the preva…
Coping with Inductive Risk When Theories are Underdetermined: Decision Making with Partial Identification
Charles F. Manski
Controversy about the significance of underdetermination of theories persists in the philosophy and conduct of science. The issue has practical import when research is used to info…
The Subtlety of Optimal Paternalism in a Population with Bounded Rationality
Charles F. Manski, Eytan Sheshinski
We study the subtlety of optimal paternalism when a utilitarian planner has the power to design a discrete choice set for a heterogeneous population with bounded rationality. We fi…
Prediction with Differential Covariate Classification: Illustrated by Covariate Classification in Medical Risk Assessment
Atheendar S. Venkataramani, Charles F. Manski, John Mullahy
A common practice in evidence-based decision-making uses estimates of conditional probabilities P(y|x) obtained from research studies to predict outcomes y on the basis of observed…
What is the general Welfare? Welfare Economic Perspectives on Equity
Charles F. Manski
Researchers do not know what the framers of the United States Constitution intended when they wrote of the general Welfare. Nevertheless, economists can conjecture by specifying so…
Using Ordinal Voting to Compare the Utilitarian Welfare of a Status Quo and A Proposed Policy: A Simple Nonparametric Analysis
Charles F. Manski
The relationship of policy choice by majority voting and by maximization of utilitarian welfare has long been discussed. I consider choice between a status quo and a proposed polic…