2 papers
cs.LG2025
Eliciting Latent Predictions from Transformers with the Tuned Lens
Nora Belrose, Igor Ostrovsky, Lev McKinney +5
We analyze transformers from the perspective of iterative inference, seeking to understand how model predictions are refined layer by layer. To do so, we train an affine probe for…
cs.LG2025
ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities
Ezra Karger, Houtan Bastani, Chen Yueh-Han +4
Forecasts of future events are essential inputs into informed decision-making. Machine learning (ML) systems have the potential to deliver forecasts at scale, but there is no frame…