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stat.ME2020★ 1 cited
Beyond Strictly Proper Scoring Rules: The Importance of Being Local
Hailiang Du
The evaluation of probabilistic forecasts plays a central role both in the interpretation and in the use of forecast systems and their development. Probabilistic scores (scoring ru…
stat.ME2016
On the Design and use of Ensembles of Multi-model Simulations for Forecasting
Sarah Higgins, Hailiang Du, Leonard A. Smith
Probability forecasting is common in the geosciences, the finance sector, and elsewhere. It is sometimes the case that one has multiple probability-forecasts for the same target. H…