3 papers
stat.AP2025
Modeling U.S. Mortality and Suicide Rates by Integrating Mental Health and Socio-Economic Indicators
Brianne Weaver, Brigg Trendler, Chris Groendyke +3
Accurate mortality modeling is central to actuarial science and public health, especially as mental health emerges as a significant factor in population outcomes. This paper develo…
stat.ME2025
Hybrid Geometry-Adaptive MCMC for Bayesian Inference in Higher-Order Ising Models
Godwin Osabutey, Robert Richardson, Garritt L. Page
We address the inverse problem for the mean-field Ising model with two- and three-body interactions using a Bayesian framework. Parameter recovery in this setting is notoriously di…
math.ST2025
Expanding the Standard Diffusion Process to Specified Non-Gaussian Marginal Distributions
Robert Richardson, H. Dennis Tolley, Kenneth Kuttler
We develop a class of non-Gaussian translation processes that extend classical stochastic differential equations (SDEs) by prescribing arbitrary absolutely continuous marginal dist…